Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.3 | $0.760 | $9.35 | Oct 13, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 27.03 |
| $0.370 |
| $10 |
| Oct 13, 2025 |
Macron out in 2025?No | sell | 21.5 | $0.900 | $19.35 | Oct 13, 2025 |
French election called by October 10?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.550 | $1.74 | Oct 7, 2025 |
French election called by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Emmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025?No | sell | 20.63 | $0.978 | $20.18 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?No | buy | 11.59 | $0.863 | $10 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Emmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.969 | $20 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Macron out in 2025?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will 2024 be better than 2023?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 33.73 | $0.593 | $20 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?No | buy | 77.78 | $0.643 | $50 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |