Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$28.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 22% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 17 Jun 2026, the highest close was 22% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 8.5% on 3 May 2026. $27.95K traded over the market's life.

37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 6:59 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 1 May 2026 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 May 2026	22.0%
17 Jun 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.48K
Brisk-Proposition	Yes	989.77
Mad-Carload	Yes	785.74

10 of 37 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.