Analytics
Yes is at 54.5%, up 20 points from 35% when the market opened on 20 Aug 2026.
Across the 64 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 35% on 20 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 54%; a month before, 69.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 61% on 23 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Flop launch a token by ___?”.
$1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $250.31, with a 23.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 36 trades, $136.73 bought Yes and $351.46 bought No.
The largest Yes position is SmartBoyBilly with 80 shares; the largest No position is gydmasg with 100.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 35.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gydmasg | No | 100 |
| sasha585 | No | 94.08 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 80.29 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flop officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Flop after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Flop (https://x.com/flop_labs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-flop-launch-a-token-by
| Fluo |
| Yes |
| 80 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 54.98 |
| pppnn | No | 35 |
| Maxima | Yes | 32 |
| Mojito9 | No | 20 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 10 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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