Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 0.7% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 50.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $4.31K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 96 points · 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 634.8 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 152.35 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 109.28 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fhenix officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Fhenix will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fhenix (https://x.com/fhenix), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fhenix-launch-a-token-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 101.7 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq | Yes | 7.5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.39 |
| lakatosnapoleon | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
