Analytics
Yes is at 16%, down 34 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
The high was 73% on 1 Jul 2026 and the low 13.5% on 6 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 36%; a month ago, 32%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 73% on 11 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Fhenix launch a token by ___?”.
$132.5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.64K since listing. The order book holds $332.21, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 50 trades, $232.47 bought Yes and $981.19 bought No.
The largest Yes position is jorgecheesey with 663 shares; the largest No position is Choroo with 439.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 86 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 11:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 104 points · 27 Jun 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jorgecheesey | Yes | 662.78 |
| Choroo | No | 438.78 |
| AJSV | Yes | 336.6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fhenix officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Fhenix will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fhenix (https://x.com/fhenix), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fhenix-launch-a-token-by
| MojAlaki |
| No |
| 224.39 |
| 0xnapalm | No | 223.47 |
| lakatosnapoleon | No | 213.31 |
| yeahyeahsure | Yes | 187 |
| polca | No | 180 |
| pppnn | Yes | 60 |
| wheatherman | Yes | 60 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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