Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67%. Yes opened at 51% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 81% on 23 Mar 2026 and the low 21% on 10 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 23% on 6 Feb 2026. $3.89K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 210 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 67.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dolba | No | 784.43 |
| acal | No | 200 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 151.73 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-eurusd-hit-in-2026
| alexbonu | No | 20.92 |
| Rain-Prob-01 | No | 20.02 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| triklozoid | No | 10 |
| 51dgfd | Yes | 4.34 |
| JohnJJJ | Yes | 2 |
| Silver Pulse BBCA | Yes | 1.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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