Analytics
Yes is at 85%, up 50 points from 35.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 9 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 78%; a month before, 81.5%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 35.5% on 8 Sep 2026.
Eugenio Segura Vázquez is the favourite of the 16 outcomes in “Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Lidia Rojas Fabro at 7.5%.
$1 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.35K since listing. The order book holds $18.49K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 242 trades, $3.24K bought Yes and $1.45K bought No.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is paddaa with 1.8K. Ten wallets hold 85% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 35.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 85.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 1.85K |
| paddaa | No | 1.81K |
| ffranco11 | Yes | 1K |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/quintana-roo-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
4 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Haradwaith |
| No |
| 679.4 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 549.91 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 482.62 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 300 |
| Blue-Horseshoe | Yes | 285.66 |
| rocky42017 | No | 141.32 |
| Dapsy | No | 104.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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