Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 23 Mar 2026, the highest close was 81.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 23% on 19 Mar 2026.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 3:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 81.5% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Time. | Yes | 7.12K |
| IH2P | Yes | 3.75K |
| Wasteful-Fraudster | Yes | 2.4K |
| Misty Summit 3196 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Ethereum hit March 16-22?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-march-16-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| michelson | Yes | 752.5 |
| popopopopopopo | Yes | 625 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.98 |
| tangmuzhi | Yes | 171.71 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 76 |
