Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.9%. Yes opened at 65% on 27 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2026 to 19 Aug 2026, the highest close was 96.9% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 65% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 87.5% on 18 Aug 2026. $9.66K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 19 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 65.0% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 96.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.1K |
| AMAM13 | No | 343 |
| Neesham | No | 100 |
| menthe2 | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fl-06-democratic-primary-winner-20260724185127312
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 30 |
| PPMT | No | 29.97 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 28.35 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 28 |
| Spectrum | No | 24 |
| Batrak | No | 24 |
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