Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 14 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the price held at 0.5%. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%.
Elsinore ranks 19th of the 27 outcomes in “Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner”. The Odyssey leads at 50%; You Can See Everything is at 20.3%.
$856.5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.93K since listing. The order book holds $9.85K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 92 trades, $6.26 bought Yes and $1.54K bought No.
The largest Yes position is MemeLoverOfficial with 7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 22.5K. Ten wallets hold 96.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 14 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.51K |
| MemeLoverOfficial | Yes | 7.03K |
| tescat | Yes | 4.6K |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857
14 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| SnapElectionAvoider |
| Yes |
| 3.6K |
| donthackme | Yes | 1.93K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.25K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.19K |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 550 |
| TomTurbo | Yes | 500 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 389 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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