Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 20 Dec 2024, the highest close was 15.8% on 19 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 15.8% on 19 Dec 2024. $100.8K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 8:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 20 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 12.5% |
| 20 Dec 2024 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.42K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 2.82K |
| Ganymede | Yes | 770 |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between December 13 and December 20.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-13-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Churros | Yes | 66.67 |
| horiaq | Yes | 16.13 |
| EungJivan | Yes | 1.43 |
| Web3Marcus | Yes | 1.08 |
| Upsava | No | 0.57 |
| Swift Scout A2EB | Yes | 0.14 |
