Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 $PENGU market cap (FDV) $8-10b one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.032 | $0.04 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.19 |
| $0.038 |
| $0.05 |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
 U.S. government admits they are operating mystery drones?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.040 | $0.05 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Chris Wright confirmed as Secretary of Energy?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.051 | $0.05 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.050 | $0.06 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.050 | $0.06 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.060 | $0.07 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.150 | $0.16 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.113 | $0.12 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.171 | $0.19 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Trudeau resigns by Friday?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.190 | $0.2 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.182 | $0.2 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.240 | $0.26 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.260 | $0.29 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.300 | $0.31 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.310 | $0.33 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.290 | $0.32 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.320 | $0.33 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.350 | $0.38 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.670 | $0.68 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 OpenSea airdrop before April?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.370 | $0.38 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.440 | $0.48 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.530 | $0.58 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.800 | $0.82 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.867 | $0.88 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| OpenSea airdrop before April?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.390 | $0.4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.700 | $0.72 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.270 | $0.3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.360 | $0.4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.190 | $0.2 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| $PENGU market cap (FDV) $8-10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.040 | $0.05 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.370 | $0.4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will New Jersey declare a state of emergency over mystery drones?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.026 | $0.03 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| U.S. government admits they are operating mystery drones?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.060 | $0.07 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.280 | $0.3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.024 | $0.03 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.042 | $0.05 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.060 | $0.07 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.124 | $0.13 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.060 | $0.07 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.070 | $0.08 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.270 | $0.3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Trudeau resigns by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.210 | $0.22 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.310 | $0.32 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.030 | $0.03 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.877 | $0.9 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Dec 13-20?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.840 | $0.86 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.460 | $0.5 | Dec 17, 2024 |