Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.9%. Yes opened at 6% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2024 to 27 Sep 2024, the highest close was 20% on 24 Sep 2024 and the lowest 5.1% on 27 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 6.5% on 26 Sep 2024. $30.9K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Sep 2024 – 27 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2024 | 6.0% |
| 27 Sep 2024 | 5.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.8K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 500.39 |
| Bright Pioneer 0D76 | Yes | 137 |
| Keen Horizon 6858 | Yes | 47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 20 and September 27.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-20-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Galex-insides | Yes | 0.03 |
| rmb177 - 10132 | No | 0.02 |
