Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?Yes | sell | 37.64 | $0.021 | $0.79 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 87.02 |
| $0.100 |
| $8.7 |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
 Faithless elector in US election?No | sell | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | sell | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | sell | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 11 | $0.920 | $10.12 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?No | sell | 13 | $0.999 | $12.99 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.999 | $7.23 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?No | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?Yes | sell | 75.7 | $0.022 | $1.67 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?Yes | sell | 2.95 | $0.024 | $0.07 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | sell | 34.88 | $0.977 | $34.08 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104No | sell | 19.35 | $0.007 | $0.14 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?No | sell | 55.67 | $0.967 | $53.83 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 7 swing states?No | sell | 11 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.998 | $39.92 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 13 | $0.999 | $12.99 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?No | sell | 26 | $0.999 | $25.97 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 24.47 | $0.985 | $24.1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Supreme Court term limits in 2024?No | sell | 64.3 | $0.951 | $61.15 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 15 | $0.580 | $8.7 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?No | sell | 30 | $0.966 | $28.98 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | sell | 40.88 | $0.840 | $34.34 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?No | sell | 17.9 | $0.350 | $6.26 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "North Carolina" 5 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?No | buy | 17.33 | $0.750 | $13 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.940 | $12.48 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala do another Fox News interview before election?No | sell | 13 | $0.960 | $12.48 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.968 | $7.01 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump x Rogan interview last 120-150 min?No | buy | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "weave" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?No | buy | 13 | $0.860 | $11.18 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tampon" during Georgia rally on October 23?No | buy | 8.88 | $0.890 | $7.9 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia rally on October 23?No | buy | 7.76 | $0.966 | $7.5 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?No | buy | 14 | $0.470 | $6.58 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Tampon" during North Carolina rally October 22?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.870 | $12.25 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.350 | $12.25 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-0?No | buy | 14.89 | $0.940 | $14 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Ravens vs. BuccaneersRavens | sell | 16.66 | $0.840 | $13.99 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Ravens vs. BuccaneersRavens | buy | 16.66 | $0.670 | $11.16 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Scorigami in NFL Week 7?No | sell | 12 | $0.930 | $11.16 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 66.96 | $0.870 | $58.26 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 59.39 | $0.981 | $58.26 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 16.4 | $0.840 | $13.78 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 JD Vance positive favorability before the election?No | sell | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-0?No | buy | 18.33 | $0.960 | $17.6 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Indiana Presidential Election?No | sell | 17.9 | $0.983 | $17.6 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29.35 | $0.940 | $27.59 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?No | buy | 47.9 | $0.250 | $11.98 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.998 | $11.98 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 44.35 | $0.969 | $42.98 | Oct 21, 2024 |