Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 1.2 points from 3% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%.
Elon Musk ranks 17th of the 17 outcomes in “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027”. Jimmy Lai leads at 13%; Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms is at 10.9%.
$10.65K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.25K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $6.39 bought Yes and $6.01K bought No; the largest was a $5K buy of No at 97.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Anjun with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is sciuboi with 3.9K.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sciuboi | No | 3.91K |
| Anjun | Yes | 2.22K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.3K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2027
4 more outcomes, none above 3.2%.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 267.24 |
| EmethN1l2367 | Yes | 189.33 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 160.31 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 114.1 |
| Heiko1 | No | 105.12 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 22.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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