Will Elon Musk say "Mainstream /Legacy" during the August 6 AMA?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 7, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 7, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 7 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2025 to 7 Aug 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 6 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 7 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.2% on 7 Aug 2025. $1.74K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 8, 8:52 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 7 Aug 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Aug 2025	49.5%
7 Aug 2025	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
qwertzu	Yes	121.37
ostrygracz	Yes	102.04
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	53
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	53

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Elon Musk is scheduled to participate in a live AMA on the future of advertising on X on August 6, 2025, 5:30 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/XBusiness/status/1952737349672042894 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk says the listed term during this AMA. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on what Elon Musk says; other speakers will not qualify. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this AMA is definitively cancelled by Elon Musk or X, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the AMA.