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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.120 | $16.8 | Oct 25, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 90 |
| $0.230 |
| $20.7 |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?No | sell | 90 | $0.062 | $5.57 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.991 | $14.61 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.910 | $63.7 | Aug 29, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 30 | $0.981 | $29.43 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Harvard international students ban ended by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Trump restores local control of DC Police by August 31?No | buy | 29 | $0.960 | $27.84 | Aug 24, 2025 |
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?Yes | buy | 80.16 | $0.767 | $61.46 | Aug 24, 2025 |
FDA approves EYLEA HD?No | buy | 93.77 | $0.998 | $93.58 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.570 | $45.6 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?No | sell | 57.38 | $0.995 | $57.09 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?No | sell | 66.73 | $0.999 | $66.66 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?No | buy | 46.73 | $0.979 | $45.75 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?No | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.32 | $0.204 | $2.31 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.740 | $51.8 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?Yes | sell | 215 | $0.160 | $34.34 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.909 | $54.55 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 60.89 | $0.930 | $56.63 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 85.99 | $0.920 | $79.11 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.810 | $76.95 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.730 | $102.2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.730 | $102.2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?No | sell | 100 | $0.968 | $96.76 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?Yes | buy | 215 | $0.280 | $60.2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Russia announces air truce by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Russia announces air truce by August 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.740 | $3.71 | Aug 16, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 80 | $0.710 | $56.8 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 14?No | buy | 321.76 | $0.970 | $312.11 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.110 | $50.6 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?No | buy | 50 | $0.946 | $47.3 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 20?No | buy | 70 | $0.890 | $62.3 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?No | buy | 90 | $0.860 | $77.4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | sell | 252.5 | $0.996 | $251.49 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 252.5 | $0.396 | $100 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | sell | 210 | $0.590 | $123.9 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 80 | $0.820 | $65.6 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 130 | $0.802 | $104.3 | Aug 11, 2025 |