Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.7%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 187 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 56.5% on 13 Dec 2025. $5.08K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 30.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 2.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UKPredictionGuru | Yes | 190.88 |
| Unfinished-Symptom | Yes | 149.37 |
| jurfuruvue | Yes | 107.41 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-go-on-joe-rogan-before-june-30
| Lajonida | Yes | 61.43 |
| PersimmonAI | Yes | 45.45 |
| Azure Summit A123 | No | 37.55 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 34 |
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 32.88 |
| Mithbuster | Yes | 29.05 |
| joedsterooo | Yes | 20.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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