Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 20 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2023 to 6 Dec 2023, the highest close was 58.5% on 20 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 6.5% on 21 Oct 2023. $7.8K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 6, 4:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 20 Oct 2023 – 6 Dec 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2023 | 58.5% |
| 6 Dec 2023 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FalconNiner49er | Yes | 530.11 |
| 793joel | Yes | 4.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2023-time-person-of-the-year
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