Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 140 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 62% on 28 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 27.5% on 29 Sep 2025. $55.34K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 25.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends any official UFC match between August 15 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-attend-a-ufc-event-by-december-31
| xlefgerx | Yes | 839.99 |
| KekusMaximus | Yes | 547.49 |
| Unimportant-Id | Yes | 430.49 |
| stocktrader2123 | Yes | 400 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 367 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 329.99 |
| Memo.pol | Yes | 239.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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