Will egg prices be between $4.50-4.75 for January?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 12, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$23.1K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 12, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 8% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 12 Feb 2025, the highest close was 32.5% on 10 Feb 2025 and the lowest 8% on 30 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 14.5% on 5 Feb 2025. $23.12K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 13, 4:46 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 12 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jan 2025	8.0%
12 Feb 2025	29.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	7.33K
Theraflu93	Yes	851.49
RememberAmalek	Yes	656.76
Rapid Tide 5BFA	Yes	150

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the January data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The January release is presently scheduled for February 12, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.