Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 30 Jan 2025, the highest close was 16.7% on 13 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.7 points down, to 7% on 14 Jan 2025. $213.76K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 1:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 30 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 7.5% |
| 30 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 109.74K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 14.1K |
| Anon9371 | Yes | 12.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group about European Central Bank interest rates set after the January 2025 meeting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-january-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 6.68K |
| ex0genesis | Yes | 6K |
| Bruno12822 | Yes | 3.87K |
| Mitfliedsname12 | Yes | 2.81K |
| Raisiel | Yes | 2.14K |
| droj | Yes | 2.05K |
| BalasubramaniyamS | Yes | 2K |
