Yes is at 3.5%, about where the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.6% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 3.5% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?”.
$871.06 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $335.51, with a 4.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 298 shares; the largest No position is 0xJasonSan with 247.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 2:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 297.65 |
| 0xJasonSan | No | 247 |
| PippiTrader | No | 115 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for the US Dollar Index (DXY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. October 2026 includes all trading days whose calendar date falls within October 2026. E.g., if the final calendar day of the month is a Sunday, the Sunday evening session counts toward the following Monday's trading day and prices published that evening count toward the following month, and the month's final prices are those published up to 5:00:00 PM ET on its final trading day (ordinarily the preceding Friday). Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
4 more markets, none above 3.4%.
| Haradwaith |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 20 |
| Emerald Beacon 0FCC | Yes | 15 |
| Sonaje | No | 10 |
| needleladder | Yes | 6.9 |
| Thirsty-Therapist | No | 5.34 |
| tetinjerska | No | 1.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-dxy-hit-in-october-2026
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