Yes is at 8.5%, down 42 points from 50% when the market opened on 26 Sep 2026.
Across the 27 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 33%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 69% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.38K since listing. The order book holds $92.76, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 152 trades, $1.37K bought Yes and $670.86 bought No.
The largest Yes position is zerebro08 with 120 shares; the largest No position is PippiTrader with 159. Ten wallets hold 95.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PippiTrader | No | 159.11 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 143.26 |
| zerebro08 | Yes | 120 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for the US Dollar Index (DXY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. October 2026 includes all trading days whose calendar date falls within October 2026. E.g., if the final calendar day of the month is a Sunday, the Sunday evening session counts toward the following Monday's trading day and prices published that evening count toward the following month, and the month's final prices are those published up to 5:00:00 PM ET on its final trading day (ordinarily the preceding Friday). Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
4 more markets, none above 2.9%.
| just-bettor |
| Yes |
| 60 |
| MrYanDao | Yes | 27 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 20.69 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 20.08 |
| nana4 | Yes | 20.01 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 19.82 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 18.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-dxy-hit-in-october-2026
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