Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.5% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Oct 2026. $1.49K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 14 May 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 8.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.17K |
| akko123 | Yes | 150 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 119.97 |
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-serb-presidency-member-of-bosnia-and-herzegovina
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| mefisto1 | Yes | 97.47 |
| 66sdf | Yes | 52.7 |
| Granatapete | Yes | 40 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| cwc909 | Yes | 23.34 |
| Keen Atlas D5DC | Yes | 18.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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