Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 5 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 21% on 9 Mar 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6.5% on 10 Mar 2025. $31.59K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 5 Mar 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2025 | 18.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| unhealthyhabit | Yes | 98.63 |
| gggggggggggggggg | Yes | 20.79 |
| aidentika | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ontario Premier Doug Ford, or the Government of Ontario acting under his leadership, officially announces that he will halt or restrict electricity exports from Ontario to the United States between March 3 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the cuts actually occur. Temporary halts or restrictions due to natural disasters, problems with infrastructure, etc., will not count toward this market's resolution unless they are explicitly announced as part of a policy decision made by Ford's government. The primary resolution source will be information from the government of Canada or Ontario, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-doug-ford-cut-off-electricity-to-the-us-before-may
| No |
| 0.01 |
| ShuRuGa | No | 0.01 |
| akl-4ibm | No | 0.01 |
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
| kuplinow | No | 0.01 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.01 |
| bistrogons | Yes | 0.01 |
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