Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.764 | $96.15 | +$19.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by 2025?No | sell | 26 | $0.994 | $25.84 | Dec 15, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.994 |
| $149.1 |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 700 | $0.992 | $694.4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 127.87 | $0.649 | $83 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.605 | $30.24 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.220 | $66 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 122.79 | $0.940 | $115.42 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 411.03 | $0.730 | $300 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.580 | $110.2 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.010 | $8 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.290 | $12.47 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Yes | buy | 57.28 | $0.280 | $16.04 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.197 | $20.7 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high before 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?No | sell | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by August 15?No | buy | 187.85 | $0.799 | $150 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?No | sell | 340 | $0.860 | $292.4 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?No | sell | 300 | $0.750 | $225 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | sell | 223.07 | $0.232 | $51.67 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 597.22 | $0.055 | $32.56 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 250 | $0.740 | $185 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 25.99 | $0.560 | $14.55 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.560 | $140 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 145 | $0.690 | $100.05 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?No | sell | 114 | $0.410 | $46.74 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.260 | $117 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.038 | $15.2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.420 | $0.5 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.420 | $58.8 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 435.39 | $0.600 | $261.23 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Yes | buy | 43.88 | $0.570 | $25 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Rigged" this week?Yes | buy | 117.96 | $0.559 | $66 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?No | buy | 150 | $0.033 | $4.95 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $6.5m?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?No | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.130 | $9.1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Solana all time high before 2026?Yes | buy | 400.01 | $0.300 | $120 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 121 | $0.770 | $93.17 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?No | buy | 141.88 | $0.900 | $127.69 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 130 | $0.900 | $117 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Jul 16, 2025 |