Analytics
Yes is at 26%, down 24 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Dec 2025.
Across the 299 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61.2% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 11.2% on 20 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.1%; a month before, 17.6%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 26.5% on 6 Dec 2025.
It is one of 19 markets under “Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?”.
$20.31K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $173.31, with a 45.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 142 trades, $67.47 bought Yes and $229.6 bought No.
The largest Yes position is conherence with 46 shares; the largest No position is Fastgaard with 123. Ten wallets hold 89.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 299 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 17.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fastgaard | No | 122.85 |
| Txetg | No | 100.37 |
| conherence | Yes | 45.63 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026
6 more markets, none above 34.0%.
| VonVonagh |
| Yes |
| 42.64 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 32.82 |
| Foolhardy-Grocery | Yes | 29.43 |
| niglette | Yes | 15.28 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 12.8 |
| 46adasd | Yes | 12.8 |
| Gital2133 | Yes | 10.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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