Analytics
Yes is at 37.5%, down 13 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Dec 2025.
Across the 310 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77.5% on 21 Feb 2026 and the lowest 30% on 11 Dec 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 70.5%; a month before, 47%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 37.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?”.
$1.39K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.38K since listing. The order book holds $956.89, with a 19.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 37 trades, $583.05 bought Yes and $902.89 bought No.
The largest Yes position is PeruvianPuffPepper with 227 shares; the largest No position is TheWindKnowsmyName with 203.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 310 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PeruvianPuffPepper | Yes | 226.66 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | No | 203.08 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 134.55 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026
7 more markets, none above 31.0%.
| johnashbough | Yes | 131.18 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 100 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 100 |
| zhyfacai | Yes | 79 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 40 |
| MrNoItAll | No | 25 |
| sm-02 | No | 18.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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