
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 25% on 4 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 23 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 4% on 5 Sep 2026. $2.45K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 9:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 28 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.96K |
| balthazar | Yes | 600 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 324.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/reggio-di-calabria-by-election-winner
| Yes |
| 152.11 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| lissartter | Yes | 37.07 |
| Bodytobody | Yes | 33 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| Stingy-Racing | Yes | 20 |
| elpollodiablo | Yes | 20 |
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