Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 9 Sep 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 47.5% on 10 Aug 2026. $6.12K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 3.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 268.33 |
| akko123 | Yes | 257 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Anjun | Yes | 111 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Desire Doue officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026
| chessplayer | Yes | 85.63 |
| tiongbu | Yes | 71 |
| jackli003 | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 19 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
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