Analytics
Yes is at 48.5%, up 10 points from 38% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 49 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19% on 21 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 37.5%; a month before, 21%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 49% on 6 Oct 2026.
8-9 is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “Israel Election: Dems # of seats?”, ahead of 10-11 at 29.5%.
$100.09 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.09K since listing. The order book holds $22.02K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 127 trades, $418.14 bought Yes and $422.41 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Coordinate with 250 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 413. Ten wallets hold 80.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 10:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 38.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 413.47 |
| Coordinate | Yes | 250.47 |
| TheOne777 | Yes | 46 |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-dems-of-seats
| LornaPredicts |
| No |
| 37.27 |
| AJSV | Yes | 35.43 |
| sagdish | Yes | 31.25 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | 30 |
| shiifoo | No | 30 |
| Askeladd. | Yes | 28.79 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 21.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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