Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 7.4 points from 8% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 76 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%; a month before, 0.5%.
<4 ranks tenth of the 10 outcomes in “How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?”. 7 leads at 20.5%; 8 is at 13.2%.
$423.04 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $14.61K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 25 trades, $2.51 bought Yes and $250.38 bought No.
The largest Yes position is efflo-polka with 331 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 642.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 8.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 642.35 |
| efflo-polka | Yes | 331 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | Yes | 101.76 |
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-florida
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 85.27 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 46.01 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 37 |
| jackli003 | Yes | 20 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 15.65 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 14.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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