Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:04 AM UTC.
Analytics
efflo-polka has made $2.76K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 15 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:04 AM UTC.
$22.06 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 20 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Oct 9, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 2.36K | $0.133 | $824.3 | +$510.92 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No | buy | 176.11 | $0.800 | $140.89 | 2d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 18:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
47 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 04:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 04:04 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 18:28 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.8K and losing ones cost $798.87 across 15 settled positions. 73.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.9K on “Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No); the largest loss, $624.83 on “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 42 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.08K across 47 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.33K |
| $0.104 |
| $526.17 |
| +$387.17 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | No | 1.46K | $0.216 | $502.94 | +$187.28 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | Yes | 779.53 | $0.240 | $272.84 | +$85.76 |
 Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 550.89 | $0.229 | $245.15 | +$119.08 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | No | 1.46K | $0.121 | $226.56 | +$50.1 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 267.53 | $0.900 | $215.36 | -$25.42 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? | Yes | 174.38 | $0.976 | $172.11 | +$1.96 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 550.89 | $0.229 | $148.46 | +$22.4 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 550.89 | $0.229 | $118.44 | -$7.62 |
 Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 107.5 | $0.026 | $91.91 | +$89.16 |
 Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 86 | $0.800 | $82.56 | +$13.76 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | Yes | 3.21K | $0.055 | $78.75 | -$97.03 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 414.72 | $0.091 | $72.58 | +$35 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | No | 156.11 | $0.247 | $56.2 | +$17.56 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 331 | $0.100 | $49.65 | +$16.55 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? | No | 50 | $0.924 | $49.23 | +$3.03 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 331 | $0.100 | $43.2 | +$10.1 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 331 | $0.100 | $34.76 | +$1.66 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 331 | $0.100 | $33.93 | +$0.83 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 331 | $0.100 | $33.43 | +$0.33 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 331 | $0.100 | $33.43 | +$0.33 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 331 | $0.100 | $29.29 | -$3.81 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 382.68 | $0.065 | $26.21 | +$1.38 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 3.22K | $0.043 | $24.17 | -$115.97 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No| buy |
| 272.19 |
| $0.800 |
| $217.75 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 295.05 | $0.920 | $271.45 | 2d ago |
| Will Democrats win fewer than 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 176.89 | $0.011 | $1.97 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No | buy | 43 | $0.929 | $39.95 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No | buy | 43 | $0.640 | $27.52 | 3d ago |
 Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 92 | $0.913 | $84 | 3d ago |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 20 | $0.906 | $18.12 | 3d ago |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 20 | $0.882 | $17.64 | 3d ago |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 255.84 | $0.910 | $232.81 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 794 | $0.002 | $1.59 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 794 | $0.002 | $1.59 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 794 | $0.009 | $7.15 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.002 | $1.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.002 | $1.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.009 | $8.1 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.023 | $2.3 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.065 | $6.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.023 | $4.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.065 | $13 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.023 | $4.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.065 | $13 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.065 | $13 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.023 | $4.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.065 | $13.65 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.023 | $4.83 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.260 | $54.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No | buy | 86 | $0.860 | $73.96 | 9d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | sell | 197 | $0.390 | $76.83 | 9d ago |
| Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 218 | $0.800 | $174.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.128 | $14.88 | 11d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.840 | $97.44 | 11d ago |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 24.5 | $0.300 | $7.35 | 12d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.094 | $120.56 | 13d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No | buy | 156.11 | $0.247 | $38.64 | 14d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?No | buy | 520.86 | $0.124 | $64.5 | 14d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?No | buy | 511.2 | $0.100 | $51 | 14d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes | buy | 779.53 | $0.240 | $187.08 | 14d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 267.53 | $0.900 | $240.78 | 14d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.976 | $156.16 | 14d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes | buy | 14.38 | $0.973 | $13.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No | buy | 309.99 | $0.890 | $275.89 | 14d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No | buy | 254.83 | $0.210 | $53.51 | 15d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 270.07 | $0.010 | $2.7 | 15d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.