Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 33 points from 40% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 153 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 26 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.3%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 30% on 14 Jun 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “TIME Person of the Year 2026”.
$3.47K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $31.53K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 85 trades, $156.9 bought Yes and $261.42 bought No.
The largest Yes position is jwd103103 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is cocococococo with 995. Ten wallets hold 95.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 153 points, 27 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 40.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jwd103103 | Yes | 1.1K |
| cocococococo | No | 994.86 |
| Dimpled-Foal | No | 320.68 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/time-person-of-the-year-2026
16 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| maritime6307 |
| Yes |
| 260 |
| algo168 | Yes | 75 |
| GUINESS123 | No | 56 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 44.98 |
| Cobalt Comet F9A2 | Yes | 27.03 |
| jacobmeter | No | 20.13 |
| Admirable-Reset | Yes | 19.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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