Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 42 points from 55.5% when the market opened on 1 May 2026.
Across the 176 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55.5% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 5 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%; a month before, 12%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 25% on 2 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Crude Oil all time high by...?”.
$42.28K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.12M since listing. The order book holds $102.51K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $14.47K bought Yes and $104.26K bought No; the largest was a $21.88K buy of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is pilimili with 148.8K shares; the largest No position is Avamax with 103.8K. Ten wallets hold 49.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 176 points, 1 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 55.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pilimili | Yes | 148.77K |
| Avamax | No | 103.82K |
| Kris-Future | Yes | 100.02K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crude-oil-all-time-high-by
| tetrose |
| Yes |
| 76.19K |
| ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | No | 72K |
| lastminwin | Yes | 70K |
| Alex8008 | No | 51.72K |
| Untimely-Kiwi | No | 44.53K |
| tnl | No | 40.01K |
| JabJabich | No | 34.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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