Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 82% on 23 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 0.4% on 27 Sep 2026. $21.05K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 1:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.82K |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 120 |
| Fruitful-Childhood | Yes |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the pitcher who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most wins. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the tied pitcher with the lower earned run average (ERA) in the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the tied pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed pitcher to finish with the most wins, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no wins leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-wins-leader-2026
| 100 |
| PPMT | Yes | 90 |
| jojoba777 | Yes | 60 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| clooso | Yes | 50 |
| Clumsy-Patriarch | Yes | 40 |
| dzodzoba777 | Yes | 28.88 |
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