Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 8 Jul 2026 and the low 20.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 40.5% on 28 Jul 2026. $342.55K traded over the market's life.
154 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 227 points · 26 Nov 2025 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aenews2 | Yes | 50.65K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.65K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 17.65K |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner
| Gatito | Yes | 15.45K |
| Melody626 | Yes | 9.5K |
| BiDiFakePolls | Yes | 5.01K |
| yeeTradez | Yes | 5K |
| rewrewrewrwe | Yes | 2.89K |
| G.Hchen | Yes | 2.7K |
| Spiffy-Win | Yes | 1.94K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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