Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 32% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 24 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 17 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 2% on 19 Jul 2026. $7.7K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 25, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 24 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 32.0% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.91K |
| cowcat | Yes | 699 |
| p10ama | Yes | 105.26 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of the Cook Islands as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose candidates received the greater combined number of valid votes across all constituencies. If multiple tied parties also received the same combined number of valid votes, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cook-islands-parliamentary-election-party-winner-20260715185920487
| Yes |
| 99.53 |
| Lean-Pledge | Yes | 62.9 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 53.11 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.03 |
| Hot-Skull | Yes | 28.61 |
| crn1 | Yes | 25 |
| Kakarama1 | No | 20.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
