Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 35 points from 50% when the market opened on 15 Sep 2026.
Across the 40 daily closes on record from 15 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17%; a month before, 27%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 20% on 30 Sep 2026.
It is one of 36 markets under “UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase”.
$9.56 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.23K since listing. The order book holds $1.36K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 21 trades, $17.17 bought Yes and $692.3 bought No.
The largest Yes position is justmeandme with 200 shares; the largest No position is Dual-Steak-Sombrero with 486.
Trading closes on 28 Feb 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 6:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dual-Steak-Sombrero | No | 486.44 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 200 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 180 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-finish-top-8-in-league-phase
23 more markets, none above 20.0%.
| napamen |
| Yes |
| 45.04 |
| leegunner | No | 44 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 42 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 39 |
| Poor-Update-Opera | No | 39 |
| Majas | Yes | 20.88 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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