Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 9% on 7 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 165 daily closes on record from 7 May 2026 to 18 Oct 2026, the highest close was 9% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points down, to 1.6% on 8 May 2026. $9.81K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 11:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 165 points, 7 May 2026 – 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 May 2026 | 9.0% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.17K |
| Sardinianshepherd | Yes | 836.46 |
| Drangtian | Yes | 500 |
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/france-united-left-primary-winner
| Cosmic Raven 18CF | Yes | 441.09 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 400 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 371.16 |
| kaitemo | Yes | 350 |
| James6644 | Yes | 168.43 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 149.99 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 147.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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