Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 18 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 23.5% on 18 Aug 2026 and the low 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 1.1% on 19 Aug 2026. $864.88 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 18 Aug 2026 – 5 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 23.5% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 369.9 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 325 |
| ACara | Yes | 88.65 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 82.55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/roraima-governor-election-winner
| flexer78 | Yes | 32.5 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Keen Pulse 8327 | Yes | 7 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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