Analytics
Yes is at 16%, up 7.5 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 15 Jul 2026.
Across the 102 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.5% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 15 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14%; a month before, 13%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 22.5% on 16 Jul 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which countries will Clavicular visit in 2026?”.
$3.38K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $216.16, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 49 trades, $95.84 bought Yes and $989.55 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 196 shares; the largest No position is extractive-manatee with 376. Ten wallets hold 97.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 8.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | No | 375.52 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 196.33 |
| freedom69 | Yes | 145.25 |
If Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, visits a listed country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Clavicular physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Clavicular enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For the purposes of this market, "China" includes all territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions, excluding Taiwan. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-clavicular-visit-in-2026-20260714153003043
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 62.99 |
| GrokEnjoyer | No | 50 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 32.37 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 29.92 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 25.9 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
