Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.1%. Yes opened at 39% on 27 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.1% on 1 Jul 2026 and the low 10.5% on 3 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 24% on 24 Jun 2026. $4.66K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 3:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 39.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 99.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.3K |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 45 |
| goodoo | No | 27.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-june
| menthe2 | No | 25 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| TeenagePanda | No | 17.35 |
| Deserted-Shopping | No | 12 |
| TooYoungToWin | No | 11.36 |
| dongdo | No | 9.76 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
