Analytics
Yes is at 3.4%, down 22 points from 25% when the market opened on 22 Aug 2026.
The high was 25% on 22 Aug 2026 and the low 0.4% on 11 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.4%; a month ago, 2.4%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 0.5% on 23 Aug 2026.
Christopher Nathaniel ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner”. Ahmed Galadima leads at 60%; Maurice Vunobolki is at 22.4%.
$772.5 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.03K, with a 4.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 100 shares; the largest No position is FrozenParasite with 334.
Trading closes on 7 Feb 2027, 113 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 3:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 22 Aug 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 25.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | No | 333.89 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 100 |
| Cosmic Raven 18CF | Yes | 67.11 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/adamawa-nigeria-governor-election-winner
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 46.79 |
| AJSV | Yes | 46.03 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 42 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.53 |
| wweat | Yes | 20 |
| ViscaElBarca | Yes | 20 |
| Nifty-Rod | Yes | 12.89 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
