Analytics
Yes is at 43%, down 12 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 22 Aug 2026.
Across the 66 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 3 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 40.5%; a month before, 60.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 30.5% on 3 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner”.
$122.49 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.57K since listing. The order book holds $23.64K, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 273 trades, $1.79K bought Yes and $3.06K bought No; the largest was a $1.53K buy of No at 38.1¢.
The largest Yes position is archaic with 652 shares; the largest No position is paddaa with 804. Ten wallets hold 88% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Feb 2027, 102 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 22 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 54.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 43.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paddaa | No | 803.85 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 666.44 |
| archaic | Yes | 651.99 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/adamawa-nigeria-governor-election-winner
| FrozenParasite |
| Yes |
| 571.64 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 288.28 |
| Rr55 | Yes | 200 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 156.53 |
| chocolatepudding | Yes | 136.84 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 110.95 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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