Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$105.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 20, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 170 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2025 to 20 May 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 5.8% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 18.5% on 27 Nov 2025. $105.02K traded over the market's life.

47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 21, 5:29 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 170 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 20 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Nov 2025	49.5%
20 May 2026	76.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
wan123	No	26.06K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	9.81K
troim	No	6K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.