Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 18 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.7% on 24 Oct 2026. The current quote, 2.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 5.7% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15%.
1.1% to 1.2% ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “October Inflation China - Annual”. 0.7% to 0.8% leads at 43.5%; 0.9% to 1.0% is at 37%.
$309.08 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.24K since listing. The order book holds $2.04K, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 98 trades, $410.82 bought Yes and $2.04K bought No.
The largest Yes position is MaxEnt with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 93.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 9 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.3K |
| MaxEnt | Yes | 1.56K |
| wugeyi | Yes | 299.99 |
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-china-annual
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed |
| No |
| 228.26 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 223.35 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 100 |
| Antony82 | Yes | 71.63 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 68.7 |
| lpgb | Yes | 60.88 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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