Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Sep 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$15.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 19, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 19 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 24% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 19 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 24.5% on 24 Aug 2026. $15.3K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 19 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Aug 2026	24.0%
19 Sep 2026	99.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.48K
Mithrandir.	No	100
tryrktry	Yes	85

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).