Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 41% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 26 Jun 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 26 Jun 2026 and the lowest 41% on 21 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 75.5% on 23 May 2026. $16.97K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 7:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 21 May 2026 – 26 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 41.0% |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AyaKurobane | No | 1.96K |
| presidenttrumpfan | No | 1.63K |
| Telluxion | No | 125 |
| acc32 | No | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cap officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cap will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cap (https://x.com/CapApp), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-cap-launch-a-token-by
| hesure | No | 20 |
| meow-123 | No | 5.17 |
| 54sfds | No | 3.14 |
| hitunfar | Yes | 0.03 |
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